For an extended period, the investment community has been closely monitoring the performance of international stock markets, particularly those outside the United States. A recent analysis using Point & Figure charting methods reveals a promising development: both emerging markets and developed economies excluding the U.S. are now exhibiting a relative buy signal. This indication suggests a potential reversal of previous trends, where domestic equities often overshadowed their international counterparts.
What sets this current situation apart from past cycles is the simultaneous buy signal observed in developed markets outside the U.S. Previously, such signals might have been isolated to specific regions or market segments. The broad nature of these new signals points to a more comprehensive shift in investor sentiment and capital allocation strategies globally. This wider participation could signify a more robust and sustainable trend for international assets.
Despite these emerging positive signals, a substantial disparity in valuations continues to exist between international and domestic equities. This gap has long been a point of consideration for investors, influencing decisions to either embrace the perceived value in international markets or stick with the momentum of domestic stocks. The current environment, with its dual buy signals, prompts a re-evaluation of these traditional stances, suggesting that the valuation advantage in international markets may finally be translating into performance.
For what feels like an eternity, I've been on the lookout for indications that equities outside the U.S. might start to outperform. The valuation gaps separating domestic and international equities have been so pronounced that I've taken positions in the latter, despite the prevailing market dynamics.